Jumat, 22 Oktober 2010

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Real Econometrics: The Right Tools to Answer Important Questions, by Michael Bailey

An engaging and practical introduction to econometrics, Real Econometrics: The Right Tools to Answer Important Questions provides thorough coverage of the most frequently used methods of analysis and a diverse array of examples and case studies. Grounded in contemporary understandings of causal inference, the text invites students to see how econometric tools can help answer interesting questions ranging from whether police reduce crime, to how drinking affects students' grades, and to whether or not tall people make higher wages. This emphasis on practical applications, combined with a lively and conversational narrative, provides students with a solid foundation in the analytical tools they will use throughout their academic and professional careers.

  • Sales Rank: #928939 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-02-23
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.50" h x .90" w x 9.10" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 624 pages

Review

"Real Econometrics is a very intuitive introduction to modern econometric techniques with an emphasis on application."--Brad Graham, Grinnell College


"The three real advantages of the book are its accessibility, its focus on endogeneity, and its reliance on regression. This is exactly how I think the class should be taught."--David Peterson, Iowa State University


"I applaud this book's approach of introducing statistical techniques in the context of solving specific problems."--Todd Idson, Boston University


"A great choice for a course that emphasizes applied research methods."--Matthew J. Holian, San Jose State University


About the Author

Michael A. Bailey, B.A. Notre Dame; M.A. (Political Science); M.A. (Economics), PhD, Stanford. Michael A. Bailey is the Colonel William J. Walsh Professor in McCourt School of Public Policy and the Department of Government at Georgetown University.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
One Star
By Max Johnson
Very difficult to understand the lessons in the book. I dropped the class.

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Senin, 18 Oktober 2010

[J579.Ebook] Free Ebook Astonished: Recapturing the Wonder, Awe, and Mystery of Life with God, by Mike Erre

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Astonished: Recapturing the Wonder, Awe, and Mystery of Life with God, by Mike Erre

In Astonished, Pastor Mike Erre calls Christians away from simplistic formulas to honest and rugged faith in the mysterious and unpredictable God. God is more about deepening the mystery of faith, not removing it. Jesus should get bigger the longer we walk with him. Life and faith should grow to be more profound and wondrous, not less. In Astonished, you will see how we are far more comfortable with tips, steps and techniques for living, than we are with ruthlessly trusting the mysterious God of the Bible. God asks us to follow him into tension, frustration, and difficulty because he wants our trust, not just our intellectual agreement. He calls us to seek Him even as we live in awe of all that is yet to be known about Him. Astonished is an invitation to question in a culture that wants answers, to wonder in a world with little mystery left, and to believe in what is unseen and find it beautiful.

--
Mike Erre is senior pastor of First Evangelical Free Church of Fullerton, California. He has previously served at both Mariners Church and Rock Harbor Church in Orange County. A graduate of Talbot School of Theology, Mike speaks at universities and conferences around the country. This is his fifth book.

  • Sales Rank: #247844 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2014-04-01
  • Released on: 2014-04-01
  • Format: Kindle eBook

About the Author
Mike Erre is senior pastor of First Evangelical Free Church of Fullerton, California. He has previously served at both Mariners Church and Rock Harbor Church in Orange County. A graduate of Talbot School of Theology, Mike speaks at universities and conferences around the country. This is his fifth book.

Most helpful customer reviews

26 of 28 people found the following review helpful.
Doesn't shy away from honest questions
By Paula Vince
This book prompts us to look at the deep and honest questions we have about God, particularly those frustrating ones we tend to poke into the background, because there seems no point in wondering. Why are desert times said to be 'necessary' in our relationship with God, when we don't have them with significant fellow humans? Why does He keep Himself hidden like a kid playing hide and seek? And one I've often grappled with at different times, why should we even want to be friends with Him, if He behaves so coy and perverse? After all, human parents don't hang back, and stay silent and aloof when their children ask them questions.

It was refreshing to come across a book which is so direct in asking such things. Mike Erre understands why it may be easy to wonder if there is, in fact, something wrong with us, and our receivers. His observations about our end of the communication were interesting, indicating that some of our problems may be to do with assumptions we've made, which originated with vocal Christians and not with God.

He examines how we often choose to come to God out of self-interested motives, rather than simply wanting to know Him for His own sake. He points out possible flaws in our methods of sharing Him with others. Jesus Himself never felt the need to dazzle people into His kingdom, as modern Christians often seemed compelled to do, making them come across the same way as those annoying steak-knife salesmen. He was content with obscurity, and felt no pressure to polish up His message to make it more palatable for the crowds. If people wanted to pursue other options, He simply let them. And if we want to present Him as something He never presented Himself, that's our problem.

Are all of the questions answered completely? No, but if there was any way they could be, the title of this book couldn't be called "Astonished". God's mysterious and surprising ways of working are part of His character. This book's intent seemed to be to help us find out more about God, and as a bonus, it helps us find out more surprising things about ourselves, including dodgy motives and counterproductive ways to trying to probe the mystery. I enjoyed it.

I received a copy from Net Galley and David C Cook in return for an honest review.

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Honest and heartfelt, a good introduction to a way to think about God.
By dr. b
It is clear from this book that Mike is passionate about God and correcting misunderstandings of who He is and how He works. This is the theme of the book, that God is more, different and beyond anything we can imagine. He makes (and sometimes belabors) the point that God's plan is not the removal of earthly suffering but instead allowing earthly suffering and using it to shape and mold His people. He makes an excellent argument that Jesus is the literal embodiment of the God who does not conform to our expectations. if there is a place the book falls short it is that it does not address in clear enough terms how we should live out this reality in our lives. Even with this mild shortcoming, I suspect this book will be helpful to many, as it does a good job of challenging many of the wrong assumptions about God that have infected the American Church in recent years.

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
back to the basics of belief
By Craig
Mike was my pastor at Rock Harbor in Costa Mesa, CA. I was drawn to the Saturday night service because it was the test run of the weekend sermons. What I found refreshingly disarming was the candor yet orthodoxy in Mike's messages to us. His writing style is the same. The book reads like a recording: I can "hear" Mike's voice. I feel as if he is sitting with me and relating the book's message. He shares the word of God as he addresses the challenges that the children of God face as they wrestle with unbelief and aim to find again not the God they want, but the One who is the great I Am.

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Jumat, 15 Oktober 2010

[H104.Ebook] Free Ebook The Wisners In America And Their Kindred: A Genealogical And Biographical History... - Scholar's Choice Edition, by George Franklin Wisner

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This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.

As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

  • Sales Rank: #5610694 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-02-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.69" h x .87" w x 7.44" l, 1.68 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 430 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Book is in good condition and legible
By Susan
Book is in good condition and legible. Only complaint is the ancestral charts in the back did not copy. They are blank.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Amazon Customer
Helpful with genealogy research

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Rabu, 13 Oktober 2010

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  • Sales Rank: #6276826 in Books
  • Published on: 2013
  • Binding: Paperback

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Selasa, 12 Oktober 2010

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Probability and Statistical Inference, by Hogg / Rao

Probability and statistical inference

  • Sales Rank: #1677579 in Books
  • Published on: 2006
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .0" h x .0" w x .0" l, 2.16 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

Most helpful customer reviews

60 of 64 people found the following review helpful.
Not as Good as the 6th Edition!
By Patrick Goetz
I am currently teaching statistics (using a different textbook) and have been using the 6th edition of Hogg/Tanis as a reference. In my opinion, this is a pretty good text for someone who A) already has some idea of what statistics is all about and B) has a thorough understanding of calculus, which Hogg/Tanis make liberal use of. For someone who likes and understands calculus,
this is a much better introductory text than those that studiously avoid any mention of higher level mathematics. I give the 6th edition a 5-star rating based on the sections I've looked at so far.

With that said, I'm sorry to report that the 7th edition is not as good as the 6th. The authors have re-organized the material "for better logical organization", but in the process have lost some pedagogical clarity. For example, the relatively important student's t distribution has been relegated to an obscure example buried in a new chapter on the normal distribution, and the formerly excellent explanation of how this is derived is gone.

And speaking of "The Normal Distribution" chapter, do I really want all things normal relegated to a separate chapter? The pervasive use and importance of this distribution in statistics makes me think that it might be better to let the normal distribution pop up whenever it needs to be invoked, as was the case in the 6th edition. Including a "Sampling Distribution Theory" chapter (as was done in the 6th edition) makes a lot more sense than what they've done now. The new chapter on Bayesian Methods is short, and not terribly useful. Relegating this material to section 9.5 in a chapter on "Theory of Statistical Inference", as was done in the 6th edition was a much better decision.

The section on "Exploratory Data Analysis" (histograms and stemplots) has been moved from an introductory chapter (which no longer exists) to the chapter on "Continuous-Type Data". How does this make any sense? And yes, it is most definately a good idea to have an introductory chapter which talks about basic concepts and data visualizations. In the 7th edition, the mean, median, and standard deviation are first mentioned in chapter 2.

Finally, why on earth do authors think that randomly adding color to a textbook and widening the pages to allow for giant margins on every page makes a text more readable/useful when in fact just the opposite is the case? The wide margins add nothing and make the book both heavier and more unwieldy, and the blue section headings and graphs give it the feel of a junior high school algebra text. The compact elegance of the 6th edition stands in stark contrast to the large and comparatively garish 7th edition.

This revision has all the feel of something that was driven strictly by textbook marketing concerns and has nothing to do with either pedagogy or an interest in producing a excellent statistics book.

My advice? If you're looking for something for self-study or reference, get the 6th edition instead. It's better, and you can get a used copy on Amazon for next to nothing, since the lemmings have all switched to using the 7th edition and there are a lot of unwanted copies of the 6th floating around.

The nonsense of constantly producing new (and often inferior) editions of textbooks just so that publishers can make more money needs to be nipped in the bud.

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
a (yawn) mechanical approach to mathematics
By A Customer
I studied the first 8 chapters of this book instead of attending the undergraduate lecture. This was a mistake. Tanis & Hoggs present probability and statistics, an otherwise interesting topic, in the most mechanical way imaginable. There is no reference (that I can recall) to any underlying mathematical ideas or questions, nor to the problems which originially prompted Poisson, Bernoulli, Gauss, etc. to inquire about the nature of "randomness" in physical events. The authors seem to suppose that their examples demonstrate such things by proxy. This book may make a decent reference for advanced students, but should not be used to teach those seeing prob & stat for the first time... that is, unless, you want it to also be their last.

9 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
Illogic organization and non-intuitive explanation
By A Customer
i'm not sure whether it's useful as a reference, but it's far from being a good textbook. obviously the authors didn't care to explain anything clearly. all they wanted was to write down all the relevant formulas to finish their book. no intuition is given at all. it's a pain to read and i would recommend both instructors and students NOT to use this book.

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[I335.Ebook] PDF Download Fat People, by Bill Schubart

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Fat People, by Bill Schubart

Fat People adds to our understanding of how easily food can overwhelm a life. The fourteen stories Schubart tells are by turns poignant and evocative. They touch on all facets of obesity - addictive behavior, prejudice, how food comes to rule a life and the intimate psychological development of people for whom food becomes both companionship and family. The best fiction not only entertains, it touches a readers heart. Readers will come to feel that they are not alone in how they feel.

  • Sales Rank: #931468 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2010-12-10
  • Released on: 2010-12-10
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
Reviewed by DEVON TOMASULO, MFA"For his book Fat People, Bill Schubart has created and gathered a collection of stories that will make you rethink your relationship with food. Schubart is smart, sensitive and unnervingly keen at noticing details...."

READ MORE: psychcentral.com/lib/2011/fat-people/

About the Author
Bill Schubart has lived with his family in Vermont since 1947. He writes about Vermont in fiction, humor and opinion pieces. At 26, Schubart was elected Chairman of the Board of Trustees for the Vermont Arts Council and then served again at age 41. At 30, he joined the Board of the Vermont Symphony Orchestra. In 1984, he became Chairman of the Vermont Folklife Center. He was educated in Morrisville Public Schools, Phillips Exeter Academy, Kenyon College and the University of Vermont. Schubart's great uncle was the renowned photographer and champion of impressionist art, Alfred Stieglitz. Schubart is fluent in French language and culture which he taught before entering communications as an entrepreneur. He writes and speaks extensively on the media and other civic issues. He has served on panels and spoken at numerous industry and media events including Book Expo, The Direct Marketing Association and The Entertainment Marketing Conference. He also writes and publishes opinion and fiction at www.Schubart.com . Schubart's interests include poetry, logging, stone gardening, primitive music and Proust.

Most helpful customer reviews

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
A Courageous Book
By Stephen H. Morris
Bill Schubart takes on the forbidden subject ... fat. And he takes it head-on from the jarring title to the cover image of a naked, disgruntled cherub who looks as if someone has just taken away his sweet bun. The characters of these fourteen fictional stories share enormous girths and are treated with equal measures of honesty (occasionally brutal), sympathy, and pathos. There's Baybie in her slanted trailer, Father Bob who can no longer reach his own penis,the girl on the train with the imaginary boy friend, even an aging coyote scavenging for fast food scraps. Be forewarned! The author will be taking you in places you've never been before (and maybe did not want to go). Schubart, a "man of girth," has been there, done that. What redeems these stories is the clarity and precision of the writing. Whether it's describing the compulsive creation of the perfect white bread cheese sandwich or the lingering aftertaste of a cinnamon roll Schubart's writing is as addictive as some of his characters' eating disorders. Writing this good makes any subject interesting. (Thank goodness, no recipes in this book!)

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
What Is It Like to Be Fat?
By Boston Reader
This is not light reading. In Bill Schubart's unsparing but compassionate stories, the world of people "of girth," opens up to the rest of us: the strain on the joints imposed by great weight; the beckoning, dreaded aroma of cinnamon buns and cheap pizza in an airport concourse (can you keep walking and get past that counter?); the rank odor wafting off a shy teenager in a boarding school because he's too ashamed to shower with the other boys. The loneliness and isolation; the obsessions. And every once in a while, a sweet small victory.

At times you may find yourself a reluctant reader but stay with it. You won't find this perspective anywhere else.

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Dangerous Territory
By dam2
This is an amazing collection of stories. Stories full of deep understanding, poignant humor, and courageous revelation. They remind us of the complex societal and personal struggles and taboos around body, food, and love that we all confront but which fat people struggle with in so many different ways.There is great sensitivity and perspective in this collection. (Notice that in the tags list one cannot find just the word "fat" but only phrases about fat.)

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Senin, 11 Oktober 2010

[P872.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Advice from a Tree Minibook, by Ilan Shamir

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Advice from a Tree Minibook, by Ilan Shamir

Everyone needs a wise friend. Someone who knows how to say just the right thing. At just the right moment. Here a hundred year old tree shares its simple wisdom about life, about living in harmony with ourselves and with nature. 64 pages of green and growing wisdom with delightfully detailed tree illustration printed on recycled and 100%replanted paper.

  • Sales Rank: #966037 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Your True Nature Inc
  • Published on: 2000-06-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Spiral-bound
  • 64 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
"...caresses your heart and brightens your eyes to the vitality that radiates from trees." -- Sarah, Stone Lion Bookstore, November, 2001

"A simple story, an ideal place to begin a family talk about values, simplicity and appreciation." --Dr. Cynthia Baldwin, Common Ground, February 18, 2002

From the Author
I walked by this giant Cottonwood tree many times. Many times I've appreciated its shade on a hot summer's day, enjoyed the leaves twirling in the sind as they return to earth in October and pondered what stories this tree could tell form one of its more than forty thousand days and nights watching over this neighborhood.

Today was different. I stopped. As I leaned against the tree the words seemed to flow out of me as I said, "Can you help me? I need some advice!" I felt the tree reach out to me, to wrap me in its branches, invite me closer and comfort me as I leaned against its steady trunk. This old and wise Cottonwood tree spoke to me with kindness and wisdom.

About the Author
Ilan Shamir lives in Colorado, among the fluttering Aspen trees and uplifting Rocky Mountains. His love of trees came early in life, when his Aunt and Uncle gave him the precious gift of a Magnolia tree for his birthday as a young child. Sharing his love of trees has been Ilans passion as he joyfully has planted over 50,000 trees and lead more than 800 planting celebrations and stories around the world. He is author of PoetTree-The Wilderness I Am, Tree Celebrations, Simple Wisdom-A Thousand Things Went Right Today!, Advice from a River, Advice from a Garden and over fifty unique nature products. Ilan brings to life the wisdom and beauty of nature with inspiring and uplifting keynote programs, storytelling and drum performances.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Wonderful Teaching Tool and just Darn Good Lessons!
By Georgian
This is a lovely "very small" book, appropriate for a graduate, as a learning experience. If one is wanting to do a "family tree," this is a good preparatory or introduction. I bought it along with "The Giving Tree" as a basis for learning to give while growing. The book is small, with one line on some pages, i.e. "don't forget your roots.", Illustrations are exquisite. I highly recommend it to parents wanting to teach their children about the importance of their place in nature - not as an "environmental indoctrination," but as a tool for teaching the cyclical process of life.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Inspiring!
By Amazon Customer
I am into inspiration of all sorts and a tree-hugger since the seventies! Received this book as a gift, and was very pleased with it's message and the charming book itself :) A good little read!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Cathygo
Excellent.

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